Electronics Supply Chain Weekly Digest 11-17-23
DATAPOINTs OF THE WEEK: S&P reported global electronics PMI of 46.9 in October vs 47.7 in Sep, marking the sharpest deterioration in the sector since mid-2020. S&P highlighted a sharper fall in new orders, output, employment, and stocks of purchase by the industry. All subsectors recorded a decline in output led by Computing. Electronic Mfg. shed staff for the 2nd month, added S&P.
S&P reported business outlook for the next 12 months in China slipped to a one-year low in October reflecting concerns over broader economic growth both at home and overseas. In Europe, S&P reported business confidence over the next 12 months remains challenging with first forecasting cuts to both employment and investments. Outlook is gloomiest in Germany where net balance of just +2% of companies surveyed expect to see a rise in business activity. In the US, S&P reports business confidence remains the highest among developed economies with a net of +25% of businesses forecasting growth in business activity.
Headlines:
Auto
- Amazon shoppers in 2024 will be able to buy a Hyundai directly from the retailer’s site
 - Continental announces job cuts in automotive division
 - US government rolls out US$3.5B in EV battery funding as manufacturers start layoffs citing slow demand
 - Fisker slashed its EV production target for 2023 citing challenges with production ramp-up
 - Lucid announce an $80,000 EV SUV with 440 miles range
 - According to US Census Bureau US auto retail sales of motor vehicles and parts declined 1% in October on adjusted basis
 - VW believes €20K EV is still doable in the second half of the decade
 - VW cuts shifts (again) at Zwickau plant on lackluster EV demand
 - Union workers at GM, F and STLA ratify UAW deal
 - Xpeg forecasts 2x increase in EV unit sales in 4Q23; reports wider than expected operating loss tied to production ramp
 
Aerospace
- China weighs ending freeze on Boeing purchases with 737 Max deal in US
 - Boeing outperforms Airbus booking 3x more orders at Dubai Air Show
 
Datacenter/Telco
- Alibaba scraps cloud business spin-off citing US chip export ban
 - Cisco’s outlook disappoints citing customers digesting product
 - Tencent has stockpiled Nvidia AI chips; turns attention to domestic solutions following recent ban
 
IP&E
- TrendForce sees global MLCC demand experiencing slow growth in 2024
 
Industrials
- Destocking in key markets like Germany and China to drive slower growth in Siemens 2024 sales
 
Semiconductors
- Applied Materials with better results and outlook but stock under pressure by investigation of selling equipment to SMIC
 - Consumer IC demand not expected to fully recover until 2H24 says DigiTimes
 - China’s mature IC capacity to account for 33% of global mix by 2027 says TrendForce citing 22 fabs under construction and 10 in the planning phase
 - Infineon reported strong results and outlook forecasting double-digit growth in Auto IC sales in 2024
 - Nvidia unveiled its latest flagship AI chip with more memory attached
 - Microsoft announced a duo of custom-designed AI chips
 - onsemi South Korea SiC fab suffered power outage last week
 - Samsung has received 4nm orders from AMD
 - Silergy says inventory correction of PMICs may take three more quarters to complete
 - IDC raised its 2023 and 2024 global semis sales forecast; projecting an ambitious 20% growth in 2024
 - Tower Semiconductor forecasted decline in 4Q revenue on continued inventory digestion
 
Consumer/EMS/Distribution
- Apple’s effort to replace Qualcomm chip in iPhone falls further behind
 - Mixed datapoints on consumer spending in China during Single Day shopping
 - Strong Huawei sales boosted China October smartphone shipments says Counterpoint
 
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